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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 11/03 11:51
Cattle Find Support Monday Morning
Traders are hopeful that fundamental support will surface later this week
and continue to help the cattle contracts trade higher.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
The livestock complex is trading mixed into Monday's noon hour as the cattle
contracts have been met with trader support, but the lean hog contracts are
still trading lower. New showlists appear to be mixed, higher in
Nebraska/Colorado and Kansas, but lower in Texas. December corn is up 1 3/4
cents per bushel and December soybean meal is down $2.00. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average is down 181.94 points and NASDAQ is up 154.01 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
The live cattle complex is back to trading higher early this week following
Friday's slightly weaker close. More than anything, traders are reappraising
the marketplace, hoping that more fundamental support will arise and that
traders will be able to push prices above and beyond the market's 100-day
moving average, which is a threshold traders aren't confident that the market
can successfully move past right now even though prices are trading higher.
December live cattle are up $2.32 at $232.00, February live cattle are up $2.37
at $230.05 and April live cattle are up $2.17 at $228.90. New showlists appear
to be mixed, higher in Nebraska/Colorado and Kansas, but lower in Texas.
Last week, Southern live cattle traded at $235 to $235.50, which is $2.50 to
$4.00 lower than the previous week's weighted average. Northern dressed cattle
traded at mostly $358 to $360, which is $9.00 to $11.00 lower than the previous
week's weighted average.
Boxed beef prices are higher: choice up $1.42 ($379.55) and select up $2.29
($360.94) with a movement of 39 loads (23.21 loads of choice, 6.02 loads of
select, zero loads of trim and 9.95 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
The feeder cattle complex is leading the cattle market's surge this morning
as prices are trading mostly $5.00 higher into Monday's noon hour. November
feeders are up $3.17 at $342.05, January feeders are up $4.42 at $336.32 and
March feeders are up $5.17 at $332.30. Following the slew of events that
transpired over the last two to three weeks, which negatively impacted the
market -- feeder cattle sales in the countryside have been noticeably lower,
with prices often trading $20.00 to $50.00 lower the compared to two to three
weeks ago. Hopefully if the board begins to trade higher, feeder cattle sales
will find more buyer support too.
LEAN HOGS:
Without anything substantial developing yet in the lean hog market's
fundamentals, it's not surprising to see the contracts again trading lower.
December lean hogs are down $0.32 at $80.95, February lean hogs are down $0.22
at $82.30 and April lean hogs are down $0.12 at $86.10. Before traders will
likely support the contracts and help prices turn higher, they're going to need
to see consumer demand improve.
The projected lean hog index for 10/31/2025 is down $0.21 at $90.98, and the
actual index for 10/30/2025 is down $0.34 at $91.19. Hog prices are lower on
the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report, down $2.00 with a weighted average price
of $83.41, ranging from $82.00 to $85.00 on 849 head and a five-day rolling
average of $87.72. Pork cutouts total 157.11 loads with 129.22 loads of pork
cuts and 27.89 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up $1.24, $103.19.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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